Thursday, November 3, 2011

My First Annual X-Factor Predictions - Season 1 - 2011

As some of you know, each year I would make my predictions for who I thought would win American Idol and in what order I thought the contestants would be voted off. I also invited others to post their predictions in the comments or email them to me. We would then score our predictions each week as contestants were voted off. (Here were the predictions and score results for the AI predictions for the last four seasons: 2011 - 2010 - 2009 - 2008)

I've decided to do the same for the X Factor. Not sure how many of you who have participated in the AI predictions are also following the X Factor, so I may be the only one, but at least I'll be on record with my predictions here.

As I normally do with AI, I'm setting my predictions after the first performance night of the Top 12, which was last night.

Here are my predictions for this first season of the X Factor. As always, I'm not saying these are my PERSONAL favorites, but just how I think America will end up voting. (Although my top two predictions also happen to be my two favorites.) If you haven't been following X Factor, you can still hear how each of these artists sounds by clicking their photos below and sample 90 seconds of their songs from iTunes.

My predictions are:


Click arrow button to sample their performances.
#1 is my predicted winner, and #12 my
prediction as first to be voted off.

As with the American Idol seasons, email me with YOUR predictions or post them as a comment to this thread, and we'll use the same point system used in previous years with AI to see who is winning at the end of each week and how we all did by the end of the season. Don't worry if you miss sending me your predictions before they start voting people off this week, as the point system takes into account when you jumped in with your predictions with a penalty for jumping in late. (You can see the details of how the scoring works below.)

To make it easy to email or post your predictions, here are the contestant's names in text form, so you can easily cut, paste and move them around in the order you predict.

Melanie Amaro
LeRoy Bell
Marcus Cante
Rachel Crow
Stacey Francis
Stereo Hogzz
Josh Krajcik
Lakoda Rayne
Chris Rene

Let's see who has the golden ears and can spot what America likes.


SCORING POINT SYSTEM: Every week, you get 1 point for every number off you were for where someone would be voted off. For example, if you predict Astro will make it to #2, but he gets voted off #4, then you get 2 points. If you guess it smack on, you get no points. Like Golf, the LOWEST SCORE WINS.

BONUS POINTS: Top Three Bonus: You get to deduct 1 bonus point for each of the top three contestants you correctly guessed. Top Two Bonus: You get to deduct 3 bonus points if you guessed the Top 2 correctly. Winner Bonus: You get to deduct 5 bonus points if you predict the winner. (This can matter, so think hard on your top 3!)

PENALTY POINTS FOR LATE ENTRANTS: All predictions must be in BEFORE the performances this Thursday night (November 3rd). If you're predictions come in after that time, you are penalized 4 points OR the maximum points anyone else was off for the first round (when they vote off #12), whichever is higher. If you miss the first two rounds, you are penalized 8 points OR the maximum points anyone else was off for the second round (when they vote off #11), whichever is higher. No more entries after the first two rounds and we are down to 10 contestants.


Anonymous said...

1. Melanie Amaro
2. Drew
3. Josh Krajcik
4. Rachel Crow
5. Stacey Francis
6. Stereo Hogzz
7. Intensity
8. Marcus Cante
9. Lakoda Rayne
10. Astro
11. Chris Rene
12. LeRoy Bell


Spinfusor said...

Here are my predictions:

1. Melanie Amaro
2. Marcus Cante
3. LeRoy Bell
4. Drew
5. Rachel Crow
6. Lakoda Rayne
7. Josh Krajcik
8. Stacy Francis
9. Astro
10. Chris Rene
11. Stereo Hogzz
12. Intensity

I'm pretty confident in my bottom half, but I'm really not sure about 2-5; I've been shuffling them around right up until a few seconds ago.

Spinfusor said...

The Stereo Hogzz got sent home!

The scores after round two:
Spinfusor: 5
Kevin: 10
Rob: 10

I was surprised to see Lakoda Rayne in the bottom two. This isn't going so well for Paula...

Kevin Carmony said...

I don't know what I was thinking with Stereo Hoggz at 4. Ugh! =)

Spinfusor said...

Stacy Francis got sent home!

The scores after round three:
Spinfusor: 7
Kevin: 13
Rob: 15

I can't say I was surprised that Stacy got sent home, but I was still hoping it was going to be Astro.

Sorry for posting this late! I fell asleep after the show (calculus will do that to you).

Kevin Carmony said...

Yes, I wish it would have been Astro, but the decision was understandable and expected.

Spinfusor said...

Lakoda Rayne and LeRoy Bell got sent home!

The scores after round four:
Spinfusor: 15
Kevin: 17
Rob: 19

This wasn't a good week for me. I gained double the points of anyone else! I have Marcus as no. 2 and LeRoy as no. 3, so I'm starting to worry about how the rest of my predictions are going to fare.

I wonder why the producers decided to vote off two contestants this week. Maybe it's because they want to finish the show by Christmas, in which case they'll need to have a double elimination at least two more times.

I scored this week with Lakoda Rayne as no. 9 and LeRoy Bell as no. 8. Let me know if you want it scored a different way.

Spinfusor said...

I forgot to put this in my last comment:

Happy Thanksgiving!

Spinfusor said...

Astro and Drew got sent home!

The scores after round four:
Spinfusor: 19
Kevin: 25
Rob: 26

Astro is gone!!!!! Christmas came early this year.

Based on the performances yesterday and the save songs today, I think the right people went home.

Spinfusor said...

Rachel got sent home!

The scores after round five:
Spinfusor: 19
Rob: 27
Kevin: 31

Kevin Carmony said...

I'm not doing very well. =) At least my #2 and #3 predictions are still in the Top 4, but alas, so is my #12 prediction!

Spinfusor said...

Marcus got sent home!

The scores after round six:
Spinfusor: 20
Rob: 29
Kevin: 31
(I factored in the bonus points for our top three guesses. Rob and you got to deduct 2 pts.; I got to deduct 1 pt.)

I'm not sure how the top three finale is going to play out. It will be interesting to see how everyone votes. Chris Rene isn't going to hurt you that much: we all had him near or at the bottom. I think (as one of the judges said on Wednesday) that he's a potential dark horse. It'd be great for you if he won, because then Rob and I wouldn't get any more bonus points.

Spinfusor said...

Melanie Amaro won the first season of The X-Factor!

I won the prediction competition!

The final scores:
Spinfusor: 27
Rob: 33
Kevin: 42

Merry Christmas / happy holidays, and I'll see all of you next year!