Thursday, March 8, 2012

My Fifth Annual American Idol Predictions - Season 11 - 2012

As some of you know, each year I make my predictions for who I think will win American Idol and in what order I think the contestants will be voted off. I also invite others to post their predictions in the comments below or email them to me. We then score our predictions each week as contestants are voted off. (Here were the predictions and score results for previous years: 2011 - 2010 - 2009 - 2008)

As usual, I'm setting my predictions after the first performance night of the Top 13.

Here are my predictions for this year. As always, I'm not saying these are my PERSONAL favorites, but just how I think America will end up voting. (Phillip, Jessica, and Hollie are my personal favs.) To hear how each of these artists sounds, you can click their photos and sample 90 seconds of their songs from previous weeks via iTunes.

My predictions are:


Click to sample their earlier performances.
#1 is my predicted winner, and #13 my prediction as first to be voted off.

As with previous years, email me with YOUR predictions or post them as a comment to this thread, and we'll use the same point system used in previous years to see who is winning at the end of each week and how we all did by the end of the season. Don't worry if you miss sending me your predictions before they start voting people off this week, as the point system takes into account when you jumped in with your predictions with a penalty for jumping in late. (You can see the details of how the scoring works below.)

To make it easy to email or post your predictions, here are the contestant's names in text form (alphabetical order), so you can easily cut, paste and move them around in the order you predict.

DeAndre Brackensick
Hollie Cavanagh
Colton Dixon
HeeJun Han
Jermaine Jones
Skylar Laine
Joshua Ledet
Shannon Magrane
Philip Philips
Jeremy Rosado
Jessica Sanchez
Elise Testone
Erika Van Pelt

Let's see who has the golden ears and can spot what America likes.


SCORING POINT SYSTEM: Every week, you get 1 point for every number off you were for where someone would be voted off. For example, if you predict Casey will make it to #2, but he gets voted off #4, then you get 2 points. If you guess it smack on, you get no points. Like Golf, the LOWEST SCORE WINS.

BONUS POINTS: Top Three Bonus: You get to deduct 1 bonus point for each of the top three contestants you correctly guessed. Top Two Bonus: You get to deduct 3 bonus points if you guessed the Top 2 correctly. Winner Bonus: You get to deduct 5 bonus points if you predict the winner. (Think hard on your top 3!)

PENALTY POINTS FOR LATE ENTRANTS: All predictions must be in BEFORE the results this Thursday night (5:00 PM PST March 8th). If you're predictions come in after that time, you are penalized 4 points OR the maximum points anyone else was off for the first round (when they vote off #13), whichever is higher. If you miss the first two rounds, you are penalized 8 points OR the maximum points anyone else was off for the second round (when they vote off #12), whichever is higher. No more entries after the first two rounds and we are down to 11 contestants.